Tuesday, June 30, 2009
Double Trouble?
Monday, June 29, 2009
See, We Told Ya So!
Wednesday, June 24, 2009
Snooze Fest!??
- The Isles, holders of the 1st overall choice, are all but assured of taking John Taveres despite Canadian-based media attempts to rumour that they intend to take Hedman or Duchesne. " We simply would be shocked to see that" is what one well placed source told FR2 last night. Odds they pick Taveres/keep their pick: 95%
- The Bolts pick next and it would seem a natural choice to pick Hedman, the defenseman who the team actually has a significant need for. Another possible reason that TB may not get into trading the pick (and out of the Lecavalier trading posture) is that their two headed monster of ownership with Bickering Tampa Bay Lightning owners Oren Koules and Len Barrie on track for a messy divorce. Things are so messy that we hear that other teams' GM can't be sure that TB GM Brian Lawton is going to be the point man for a trade. Word is that Barrie wants Lawton replaced and there is even rumour he independently has courted the agents of potential UFA, while Koules is solidly a Lawton man and wants Lecavalier dealt. They are meeting with the Principal (Gary Bettman) its anyone's guess who will/can be given the reigns or if the NHL has to (again) step in to run an NHL team. Odds of a trade of the #2 pick: 10%
- The Avalanche holding the #3 slot probably have the easiest choice to make. They will simply select who is remaining of the 'big Three'. Either way they will end up with a very good hockey player. Odds of the 'lanche trading the pick: 10%
2) We are NOT saying that trades involving trading up or down a few slots won't happen. They are always a common occurrence. Its almost a given that the Islanders will try to move up using some of their other 4 top 50 picks to do so, but we have not heard of any block busters involving one of the top 10 picks. It is totally conceivable that there won't be a single trade before the top 10 or so players are off the board already. "GM's are so enamoured with this year's draft class that it would take a prohibitive compensation package to get one of those picks pried away".
3) Now as to the possibility of active players traded during the weekend's festivities. Again, this is NOT uncommon. Last season we saw Mike Cammalleri , Ollie Jokinen, Alex Tanguay change teams on draft day, but NONE involved picks higher than 25th.
- Speculation will swirl around Lecavalier especially with the draft taking place in Montreal. As alluded to earlier a trade of Vinny took a major hit with the Lightning situation going from bad to worse. Also what GM would want to take on his contract of 11 more years at a 7.727 cap hit AND a no movement clause to boot?. Odds of a Lecavalier trade: 25%
- Additionally we'll sure to hear plenty of discussion about Dany Heatley. However, we are told by more than one source that most teams interested in acquiring him would prefer it to take place AFTER July 1st(when he's paid a 4 million dollar bonus) So expect any Heatley deal to be a early July deal. Odds of a draft day deal: 30%
- NT Ranger writers are trying to say that GM Glen Sather will try to deal Scott Gomez and or Chris Drury and their obnoxiously long/lucrative contracts. "Not with the salary cap flat lining of possibly declining next year", is what we have heard. Odds of a deal: 10%
- As FR correctly pointed out last week Dion Pheneuf is going NOWHERE! Odds of a deal: 10%
- Phil Kessel to be dealt by the Bruins? If his demands are exorbitant its always possible but the B's are NOT actively shopping the 21 year old RFA. Odds of a deal: 10%
- JS Giguere- IS available we are told, and it will probably be a combo of player(s)/picks but NOT anything in the top 10 for sure. Odds of a deal 50%
4) So there you have it. Yes, there will be some player movement and trades of picks among teams, but this is standard operating procedure NOT a draft that will be remembered for MAJOR trades/Earth shattering movement up or down among the 30 NHL squads. We will amend that opinion (eat crow) IF one of the top 3 teams trade their pick/and or major player trades like Vincent Lecavalier and Heatley are dealt Friday night. As we wrote earlier, the odds are against it.
Monday, June 22, 2009
Calendar of Events
June 15-30: NHL buyout period
June 26: Entry Draft, day 1 - Montreal
June 27:Entry Draft, day 2 - Montreal
July 1:Free agency begins.
July 5:Player-elected arbitration deadline
July 6: Team-elected arbitration deadline
July 10: Group 5 free agency deadline
July 20-Aug 4: Salary arbitration hearings
August 6:Deadline for arbitration decisions
Friday, June 19, 2009
Draft Weekend Fireworks?
2) For the record we believe from what we have been hearing that the NY Islanders will BOTH retain the 1st overall pick AND choose The London Knight's John Tavares with the pick. No shocker there. It is also almost a forgone conclusion that Tampa Bay will then choose the Swedish monster, 6'6" Victor Hedman with the 2nd pick. However its NOT a foregone conclusion that either team won't be dealing next weekend. BOTH franchises are going to be involved in at least one, and in the case of the Lightning we're told they will be making more than one "significant trade" next week/weekend Friday.
3) In the case of the Islanders we have heard from several sources that they have let the other 29 GM's know that ANY asset they have (outside of this years 1st overall pick and Kyle Okposo) is available for the right price. Yes, that includes last year's top pick Josh Bailey as well as next year's top pick. We doubt either will go, but is does show us that Snow is willing to gamble to quickly improve his teams' long term chances. What we expect is they will use their second 1st rounder and one of their second round picks to move up 5-10 or so slots. One West coast scout told us he would NOT be shocked to see Snow grab one of the other top 5 picks with a few moves. "He's been all over the phones trying to make a splash". We have to assume a 'splash' would be not just picking Tavares, but to get another big name. Should be interesting at the Isles table.
4) Meanwhile in Tampa Bay they are trying to feverishly work out a deal to unload captain Vinny Lecavalier. We haven't heard any recent noise, but if the adage "where there is smoke, fire" has any validity Vinny will be soon moved. Originally Montreal seemed to be the only possible suitor. (We believe they still are the front runner) Bob Gainey has been coy (as he almost always is) about this. The Lightning are almost forced to make this move due to the fact that as of July 1st Lecavalier will not only get a raise to 10 mil/year for the next 7 years, but a no movement clause to boot. So its either now or never for the Bolts. There are now more than also inquired. Additionally the Lightning will be very accommodating to teams interested in obtaining Ryan Malone and his 6 more years at a cap hit of 4.5 mil. It might be a hard sell, but if they ask for a minimum return we could see a team or two willing to part with a 2nd rounder and a lesser salaried roster player for the Pittsburgh native.
5) In addition to those two teams other interesting story lines that will sure to be discussed next week:
- Dany Heatley- If Ottawa is trying to accommodate their star winger and trade him they might be motivated to do it before July 1st when he will be due 4 million in bonus payment. Of course every other team knows this too so that might put the brakes on a deal until after 7/1. Ottawa would prefer to get back a veteran scorer so that would further reduce the possible trading partners. One rumour that might have teeth is the Marleau-Heatley swap.
- Dion Pheneuf- Many of the usual rumour whores are throwing his name out there for no other reason we're told than to increase/retain readers. ALL our sources tell us there is ZERO chance we'll see Pheneuf dealt this summer. "Those rumours are total bullshit" is what one reliable source bluntly told us late last night.
- Brian Burke- Never underestimate the new Toronto GM. He is the one who pulled off the draft day coup that brought BOTH Sedin's to Vancouver a decade ago. The rumbling from the NHL's biggest media market is that Burke will try to land Tavares. Fat chance of that happening, but we believe that at the very least he will do what it takes to get the 'other Schenn', Brayden to go along with last years top pick, Luke. He would be willing to deal virtually any other picks he has in addition to many current Leafs.
5) What appears for sure is that the twitching (gary-bettman) Napoleon will be booed every time he approaches the podium and we are almost certain to see several big deals that will possibly change the current landscape/balance of power within the league for a decade to come. Should be exciting folks. get the pop corn ready and lets watch the fire works commence!
Wednesday, June 17, 2009
NHL Awards!
2) Hart: Alex Ovechkin. Runners up: Evgeny Malkin. The voting will undoubtedly be a lot closer this time around, but in the end the same winner as last season should prevail yet again. Evgeny Malkin closed the gap significantly with his countryman with an amazing performance of his own, but the combo of winning the Richard, most game winning goals, and the other intangibles he adds to help his team win make #8 our Hart winner again. ( Remmber voting takes place PRIOR to the playoffs. If the playoffs were taken into acccount our nod would be to Malkin!)
4) Vezina: Steve Mason. Runners up: Tim Thomas, Niklas Backstrom. Another tough call to make. In the end the rookie who plays behind a much less experienced defense/forward group in Columbus, helping them to their first ever playoff berth won out. However, it wouldn't be a shocker to see Thomas given the award as his numbers were extraordinary
.
10) Lady Byng: What exactly is the purpose of this award? Traditionally to the best player who doesn't fight much, and also isn't going to win any of the other awards? Martin St Louis. Runners up: Zac Parise
Tuesday, June 16, 2009
Dead Team Walking!
2) The judge didn't say that Balsillie's offer didn't have merit, but said there were to many aspects of the issue to be resolved over such a small window of time. He would have to not only rule in favour of one party to take control of the team, but in the case of Balsillie's bid, have to include a very complicated issue of a 'relocation fees', etc.
3) With all that decided its now down to 4 or so nebulous offers that few (if any) know the details about. There is the supposed Reinsdorf offer. Possibly one from the Toronto Argo's(CFL) ownership group, and a couple of others that seem even more far fetched. What we believe is clear though is that regardless of who ultimately gets possession of the team, the days in Phoenix are numbered. Even with concessions from the city of Glendale (which is NO slam dunk seeing that 70%+ of the populace is against such a move) the team would still be hemorrhaging money, so a move to another (100% chance) US locale is inevitable. We believe as early as the 2010-2011 season. The front runner of course would be KC. Therefore this next season the Coyotes will be a Dead Team Walking!
Sunday, June 14, 2009
Pittsburgh Penguins: Emperors of The NHL!
2) We shouldn't be surprised though that this team defied the odds last night. We have seen them defy the odds all season. Going from the 10th seed a mere 2 months prior to the end of the regular season. Pushing GM Ray Shero to make the ultimate move that in our opinion solidified the Cup run- The firing of Michel Therrien and replaced him with Dan Bylsma. Despite the team making it the the Finals last year we never were big Therrian fans and we believe that move had the biggest impact.
3)Other possible impact moves made by Shero were the addition of Kunitz and Guerin. Even though neither had huge numbers in the Finals, their presence alone probably freed up room for the other players to succeed. Is it a coincidence that Marion Hossa finds himself at the wrong end of another Finals? We say no. Like Therrian we are NOT fans of the Slovak sniper. he is mega talented, but not worth the big bucks and wasn't a factor when the rubber met the road in the Finals! Again, Congrats to Pittsburgh.
4) All this quickly brings us to the off season. No meaningful NHL games until October. A HUGE 4 months away. However between now and then we have some important dates.
- First are the awards ceremonies next week. (Look for our updated picks for the various awards)
- The NHL draft in Montreal when there are sure to be many a deal. (A post on this upcoming)
- Following this the free agent season commences July 1. This year will probably be as interesting as last with so many quality players possibly available. With some important players changing uniforms for sure.
- Summer rookie player camps usually take place in mid July for those of us who need a quick hockey fix.
- Training camps in mid September
5) As such we at FAUXRUMORS will probably not be posting quite as frequently over the summer. However, look for regular updates as the rumor mills begin to churn in earnest now that the season is over for all 30 teams. We have a post soon about Power forwards, and one we are working on about possible moves this draft day. Look for them in the upcoming days/weeks. As always, keep it here for all the latest!
Wednesday, June 10, 2009
Will NHL Call Balsillie's Bluff?
- The legal wrangling won't end here-Appeals are all but certain. Especially if the NHL loses, you can be sure Bettman/Daly will fight to prevent Balsillie from moving the team on anything but their terms! It would open up a HUGE can of worms that would make the previous battles with the NHLPA appear peaceful. The dirty little secret is that there are FAR more issues within the various owners than between the players and the NHL.
- The Coyotes are a 'Dead team Walking'. We can not see an option that keeps them in Phoenix beyond next season. No matter who ultimately ends up owning the team they will leave for greener pastures. Whether it be this fall with Balsillie, or next fall with another un names owner(s). White knuckle time for Gary, no doubt!
Tuesday, June 9, 2009
Sutter Stepping Out--- Guy Stepping In?
Monday, June 8, 2009
Polish The Cup!
2) With #12, they will be within one of Toronto, who haven't hoisted the silver chalice since 1967 (pre-expansion), for second most (behind the Canadiens' 24) Cups. It also would be the team's 5th Cup in 12 years. Combining that with their 6 President's trophy's in the past 15 years, you'd have to give serious consideration of calling Detroit a Dynasty. At the very least its probably as close to one as we can possibly get in the New Bettman salary crapped NHL.
3) So the question is, will Detroit end it tomorrow or have to wait until they return to The Joe Thursday? While we will stick with our original prediction of Detroit in 7, we would NOT be shocked to see the defending champs wrap things up tomorrow. However the Pens will not go down easily. They possess a mighty talented group, who as we have also mentioned in the past, should be back here many times in the future(Probably winning a few Cups of their own) However the Wings appear to have just enough of that championship swagger/confidence to pull it off this (last-?) time. So will the twitching little Napoleon be handing Lidstrom the Cup tomorrow or Thursday? Stay tuned. For now, the silver is polished and ready.......
Saturday, June 6, 2009
Do The Flyers Never learn?
Friday, June 5, 2009
Dead-Locked: Its a Series!
Thursday, June 4, 2009
Kansas City Here We Come!?!
Wednesday, June 3, 2009
Avalanche Mercifully Put Granato Out of Misery!
The Avalanche also fired assistant coaches Jacques Cloutier and Dave Barr, goaltending coach Jeff Hackett, assistant to the general manager Michel Goulet and video coordinator P.J. DeLuca.
Sherman had been Colorado's assistant GM for the past seven seasons. Also promoted within the organization were Craig Billington as assistant GM and David Oliver as director of player development, succeeding Billington.
Tuesday, June 2, 2009
Double Standard?
2) The first was at the end of game 1. As the Red Wings were skating towards Chris Osgood immediately following the conclusion Sidney Crosby jabbed Wing forward Kirk Maltby's foot. Right from Crosby's mouth:" He was doing what he always does. You know, he was giving guys lip service and things like that,'' Crosby said. "I two-handed him on top of the foot there as we were skating by. So he felt like it was necessary to keep talking after the game, and I thought I'd whack him. We suppose he felt comfortable enough to accurately relay his actions because he wouldn't get any league response? The result of the play? Nothing. Silence. We can't reprint the note that long time Fauxrumor reader "Vladtheimpaler" wrote to us that evening. Suffice to say he was irate that not even a symbolic penalty was called. He went on to say "it wasn't unlike what Sean Avery would do", like for instance what he did to Tim Thomas a couple of months ago. Interesting. Let's say that Sean had given Crosby (or any star player) a 2 handed slash AFTER a game, anyone think it would have gone unpunished? You decide.
3) The next instance is even more blatant in our opinion. Late in Game 2, during a scrum in front of Osgood Evgeny Malkin went after Wings forward Henrik Zetterberg. http://video.aol.com/video-detail/2009-stanley-cup-finals-game-2-detroit-red-wings-vs-pittsburgh-penguins-zetterberg-malkin-fight/946916573 It wasn't the most memorable bout we've ever witnessed. In fact Malkin's fighting skills (this was his first in the NHL) looked eerily similar to his countrymen, the Capitals Alex Semin http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B_ydsUCzi2E who looked silly in his first NHL scrap. LOL